There is substantial agreement in the monetary policy literature over the effects of exogenous monetary policy shocks. The shocks that are investigated, however, almost exclusively represent unanticipated changes in policy, which surprise the private sector and which are typically found to have a delayed and sluggish effect on output. In this paper, we estimate a New Keynesian model that incorporates news about future policies to try to disentangle the anticipated and unanticipated components of policy shocks. The paper shows that the conventional estimates confound two distinct effects on output: an effect due to unanticipated or “surprise” shocks, which is smaller and more short-lived than the response usually obtained in the literature...
A vast empirical literature has documented delayed and persistent effects of monetary policy shocks ...
It is well known that U.S. monetary policy is well-approximated by a Taylor rule. This suggests a re...
How does the economy respond to shocks to expectations? This paper addresses this question within a ...
We pursue a novel empirical strategy to identify a monetary news shock in the U.S. economy. We use ...
Measures of monetary shocks commonly give rise to the puzzling result where a monetary tightening ha...
We empirically investigate whether monetary policy announcements affect firms’ and consumers’ expect...
The study proposes a novel way to identify the effects of monetary policy shocks taking into account...
This paper uses the conventional wisdom about the shift in the monetary policy stance in 1979 to com...
In order to quantify the effects of monetary policy, this paper employs an alternative empirical mea...
There has been recent interest in the implications of expectations about changes in future fundament...
This paper examines the response of the term structure of interest rates to weekly money announcemen...
Abstract: This paper shows that exchange rates respond to only the surprise component of an actual U...
This article analyzes how announced surprises in monetary policy actions and macroeconomic data rele...
I decompose deviations of the Federal funds rate from a Taylor type monetary policy rule into exogen...
A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the res...
A vast empirical literature has documented delayed and persistent effects of monetary policy shocks ...
It is well known that U.S. monetary policy is well-approximated by a Taylor rule. This suggests a re...
How does the economy respond to shocks to expectations? This paper addresses this question within a ...
We pursue a novel empirical strategy to identify a monetary news shock in the U.S. economy. We use ...
Measures of monetary shocks commonly give rise to the puzzling result where a monetary tightening ha...
We empirically investigate whether monetary policy announcements affect firms’ and consumers’ expect...
The study proposes a novel way to identify the effects of monetary policy shocks taking into account...
This paper uses the conventional wisdom about the shift in the monetary policy stance in 1979 to com...
In order to quantify the effects of monetary policy, this paper employs an alternative empirical mea...
There has been recent interest in the implications of expectations about changes in future fundament...
This paper examines the response of the term structure of interest rates to weekly money announcemen...
Abstract: This paper shows that exchange rates respond to only the surprise component of an actual U...
This article analyzes how announced surprises in monetary policy actions and macroeconomic data rele...
I decompose deviations of the Federal funds rate from a Taylor type monetary policy rule into exogen...
A VAR model estimated on U.S. data before and after 1980 documents systematic differences in the res...
A vast empirical literature has documented delayed and persistent effects of monetary policy shocks ...
It is well known that U.S. monetary policy is well-approximated by a Taylor rule. This suggests a re...
How does the economy respond to shocks to expectations? This paper addresses this question within a ...